Morning Consult

We just released results of our post-debate flash poll of registered voters, with analysis by Eli Yokley and Cameron Easley. You're going to want to read this: https://lnkd.in/g8vXvKq5 Some main points: -A clear majority of debate-viewing voters (57%) say Trump performed best on Thursday. -A 47% plurality of Democrats, say Biden should be replaced as the Democratic candidate for president. -The Biden campaign viewed last night’s debate as another opportunity to assuage concerns about his age and mental acuity, but that didn’t work: Among debate viewers, 78% say Biden is too old, compared with 64% of all voters who said the same days before the debate.

I published the Q2 update to our Global Political Polarization Rankings today. France catches the eye with its high share of those holding right wing views, but it hasn't seen a big increase in recent months, and at 18% those espousing far-right ideology are fewer than the >30% who voted for the right in European Parliament elections. It's one to watch this month heading into snap elections where the far right is hoping to gain ground. For clients, chart downloads reveal where polarization is rising or falling. Particularly interesting shifts seem to be underway in Canada and Australia. https://lnkd.in/gvvNKQz8

Cannes, France… we’ll see you soon! ✈ If you haven’t already, mark your calendar for Monday, June 17 at 4 p.m. to catch Morning Consult’s SVP of Sales Taylor Ashy joining The Female Quotient's Equality Lounge daily ‘Manel’ stage. Alongside fellow male leaders, they’ll unpack topics and questions typically geared towards women — it’s a conversation you won’t want to miss! 💡 Full details and RSVP here: https://lnkd.in/gPj9Zfi5 #CannesLions2024 #Cannes

Our fifth annual Most Trusted Brands report is here! This year, we’re expanding our rankings to include more brands than ever before — 118 brands are included across our 14 rankings — from long-standing brands like UPS and Colgate to newer entrants such as ChatGPT and Spotify. This report also drills down into the demographic variables that shape trust in the United States — specifically gender and generation — including rankings of the brands that are most trusted by those demographics, as well as the ones that stand out among each group.

We’re heading to Cannes Lions International Festival of Creativity to join The Female Quotient’s Equality Lounge June 17-20 at Hôtel Martinez. Will we see you there? Don’t miss Morning Consult’s SVP of Sales Taylor Ashy joining the daily ‘Manel’ stage alongside other male leadership on Monday, June 17 at 4 p.m. to unpack the complexities of work-life balance, career growth and family. 💡   RSVP here: https://lnkd.in/gPj9Zfi5

Americans may be holding their collective breath until November, but Europeans are heading to the polls over the next few days to elect members of the E.U. parliament. On this side of the Atlantic, our eyes may start to glaze over when trying to understand trans-national E.U. parliamentary blocs, party lists and so-called spitzenkandidaten. But this stuff matters. Among other things, Europe's top bureaucrat the E.U. Commission President (currently Ursula Von der Leyen) will need the new parliament's nod. One player anticipated to get a boost in Brussels is Giorgia Meloni, with her Brothers of Italy expected to more than triple their seats amid an overall shift right. I take a look at Meloni's approval rating among various political groups in Italy heading into this weekend's vote, and at the demographics of her party for clues on likely turnout to see if Meloni will indeed become a queenmaker come July. https://lnkd.in/gWeiN-jZ

Out the gate this morning with my colleague Eli Yokley 's post-trial research on how voters feel about various aspects of the Trump conviction, using data from a representative survey of registered U.S. voters we fielded on Friday.

Over half of voters approve of the New York jury’s decision to convict former President Donald Trump on 34 felonies. A similar share believes Trump committed a crime.

Memorial Day weekend is just a few days away, the official kick off of the summer travel season. Just in time, Lindsey Roeschke has a fantastic new Morning Consult Pro report the looks at vacation and travel preferences by generation, with some crucial insights on what sets each generation apart. Link in the comments.