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Questions tagged [probability]

A mathematical puzzle whose essential nature involves randomness. Use with [mathematics]

4 votes
4 answers
509 views

Revealing the least helpful of three numbers

(This is a follow-up to Guessing whether the revealed number is higher.) They're at it again. This time Andrew is secretly shown three real numbers, all independently, randomly, uniformly chosen from ...
fblundun's user avatar
  • 1,704
9 votes
2 answers
1k views

Guessing whether the revealed number is higher

Consider the following game: Two real numbers are independently, randomly, uniformly chosen from the interval [0, 1]. Andrew is secretly shown the two numbers. He must choose one of the numbers and ...
fblundun's user avatar
  • 1,704
11 votes
5 answers
2k views

Unpaired socks in my lap

Today in my laundry basket I had 10 distinct pairs of socks. I repeatedly take a sock randomly from my basket. If it matches a sock in my lap, I pair both up and put them aside, otherwise I put it on ...
qwr's user avatar
  • 989
13 votes
2 answers
562 views

The HH vs HT question

My puzzle is based on this tweet (image): Flip a fair coin 100 times—it gives a sequence of heads (H) and tails (T). For each HH in the sequence of flips, Alice gets a point; for each HT, Bob does, ...
Mike Earnest's user avatar
  • 32.5k
1 vote
2 answers
228 views

Diamond Rush: Back to... um

It is summer in the Pse School Of Logicians, and everyone studying there is dying for a break (they absolutely hate school, and can do anything to get out of it). And because the teachers there are ...
3-1-4-One-Five's user avatar
20 votes
3 answers
2k views

Winning chance in coins game with fixing

A player plays the following solitaire game. The game consists of as many rounds as are needed to produce a result. They have 20 fair coins, which may in any round be live or fixed; each coin starts ...
Rosie F's user avatar
  • 8,692
5 votes
4 answers
737 views

The Alien Snails Experiment

Fictional Background Story (The Experiment): Two extremely fast and intelligent alien snails are randomly placed on two different points on an infinite plane, as an experiment by the cruel ruler of ...
Prim3numbah's user avatar
  • 37.3k
2 votes
0 answers
138 views

Picasso at the art school [closed]

Picasso is preparing for his fine art exam. At the exam he will be shown exactly (a replica of) one of the following four paintings chosen uniformly at random: Mona Lisa The Last Supper The Starry ...
Matsmath's user avatar
  • 1,929
1 vote
0 answers
155 views

Impossible Minesweeper?

I was playing the game Minesweeper earlier today and came across the following situation: (Look at the bottom-middle section of the gameboard.) It seems to me that either of the two diagonal pathways ...
Joe Kerr's user avatar
  • 1,112
7 votes
2 answers
426 views

Does this random sequence contain the number 1?

Randomly choose a number from 1 to 3 and call it $a_1$; Randomly choose a number from 1 to 3$a_1$ and call it $a_2$; Randomly choose a number from 1 to 3$a_2$ and call it $a_3$; $\cdots$ Repeat this ...
Eric's user avatar
  • 6,536
-1 votes
1 answer
160 views

How many pencils are there? [closed]

Four pencils are chosen (without replacement) from a pencil case, two of which are blunt. The probability that both blunt pencils are chosen is twice the probability that neither is chosen. How many ...
Simd's user avatar
  • 7,845
4 votes
1 answer
377 views

The Monty Hall loot box

Everyone sufficiently competent in probability knows that in The Monty Hall problem as most commonly presented, switching doors wins you the car $\frac23$ of the time. I have come up with this ...
Parcly Taxel's user avatar
  • 7,820
4 votes
6 answers
5k views

What is the probability that your life will have lasted for 100 years once you die?

You are in a world where exactly 90% of all people live for exactly 3 years, and exactly 10% of all people live for exactly 100 years. Aside from what I mention here there is no information that can ...
Anders Gustafson's user avatar
2 votes
3 answers
432 views

Button multi arm bandit problem

Let's say you have the following buttons to press, labeled a - j, that would earn you the following amounts of money: a: \$6 b: \$9 c: \$15 d: \$26 e: \$45 f: \$78 g: \$136 h: \$416 i: \$728 j: \$...
user55665484375's user avatar
0 votes
1 answer
579 views

What is the probability I can't bike despite good weather? [closed]

I am trying to solve this puzzle: I have a total of two bikes that I keep at work or at home. I always bike to and from my work unless it rains, in which case I take a taxi (and don't bring my bike). ...
Peanutlex's user avatar
  • 111

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